On the other hand,上海会所he past, the Fed now has t

to take the delayed effect of balance sheet reduction conducted earlier into its consideration of rate cuts. The current phase-out of balanc

上海会所e sheet reduction already has some easing effect, and only after the balance sheet reduction ends in September, can its impact become clearer.

By incorporating that impact into consideration, the Fed can draw up a better rate cut plan that maximizes effects of the policy mix.上海会所

Thirdly, the market may have overestimated how much the Fed will cut the rates. There may be no more than three rate cuts by the end of 2020.

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard – the major advocate of this

round of rate cut – has suggested the use of the modern-day Taylor rule, which fairly well explains th上海会所

e Fed’s interest rate decisions. Even based on this model adopted by dovish Fed officials, we found that the degree of rate cuts may be weaker than m

上海会所arket expectation for quite some time going forward: at most one cut by the end of this year and likely two or three cuts by the end of 2020.

By contrast, before the June FOMC meeting, the market expected a higher-than-85-percent chance of more than one rate cut by the

end of this year as well as an about 60-percent chance of more than three cuts by the end of 2020, according to Bloomberg data.上海会所品茶微信

In conclusion, we think as economic downside pressure gradually emerges, the Fed will have to kick off the rate cut cycle. But the rate cut si上海会所品茶微信

gnal, timing and degree may not measure up to the market expectation. Therefore, two future developments appear possible:

First, investor sentiment can reverse drastically if the Fed’s action fails to meet market expec上海会所品茶微信

tation. Considering the market has fully priced in the unrealistic expectation of rate cuts sinc

e early June, any reversal of expectation can lead to short-term fluctuations of key price signals such as the US Treasury yield cu

rve, the US Dollar Index, and the gold price, which may pose extensive spillover shocks to asset portfolios.

Second, the long-term trend of rate cuts will continue even if the market expectation reverses. In the long

run, the Fed is expected to proceed with rate cuts in a fairly slow and smooth way. This will enlarge the monetary policy room of ot

her major economies and expedite the shift toward an easing global monetary environment, which may in turn lift the sen

timent of global stock markets and ease any currency risk of emerging markets gradually.

Cheng Shi is the managing director, head of research and chief economist of ICBC Interna

tional Holdings Ltd.Qian Zhijun is a senior economist of ICBC International Holdings Ltd.

chitudoudemao.cn

She also said that 96 percent of Polish companies are

e small and medium-sized enterprises, many of which are family businesses and contribute the greater part of the country’s GDP.

“上海千花网Poland is known worldwide for the q

uality of its food, such as apples and milk, which are already available on the Chinese m

arket. We believe that Chinese consumers will be more open for new tastes of Polish food in the near future,” Skoczek said.

He said the CISMEF is an international event which features the highest level, largest scale and most wid

e-ranging influence in the Asia-Pacific region and specially serves SMEs. Over the past 13 years, 16 countries and international organizations in Asia, Europe, Oceania, America (North上海千花网

America and South America) and Africa have been invited to host the exhibition, with its international influence growing year by year.

The 14th CISMEF will feature South Africa and the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNI

DO). With an exhibition area of more than 1,000 square meters, South Africa will appear with more than 70 characteristic enterpris上海千花网女神会所

es in industries such as agriculture, and services, to promote and present distinctive local products, industrial investment environment and cultural customs. UNIDO will set up

a special promotion area in the International Hall to popularize the knowledge of industry, and provide technical support and projects needed by SMEs.上海千花网

Currently, 31 countries, regions and organizations have confirmed their participation and booked 1,028 booths, including South Africa,

UNIDO, Egypt (first time), Malaysia, Thailand, Cambodia, Myanmar, Greece, the UAE, the United Nations Office for South-South Cooperation, Japan, Poland, Sri Lanka, Russia, Sou

th Korea, Vietnam, Bulgaria, Iran, Nigeria, Germany, Indonesia, the USA, Spain, Australia, Qatar, Brazil, New Zealand, Israel, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macao.

上海千花网女神会所Responding to the national strategy of opening up, the fair will host several international pavilions featuring the Belt and R

oad; China-Africa Cooperation Mechanism and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area; Africa pavilion; Central and Eastern Euro

pe pavilion; Middle East pavilion and Hong Kong; and the Macao & Taiwan pavilion will be set up to present distinctive products and 上海千花网女神会所quality services.

A wide range of practical events, such as the second Asia-Europe SME Financing Seminar, SME Cross-border M

atchmaking Seminar and Business Promotion of Overseas Exhibition Groups and Purchase Presentation, will be held conc

urrently to build a capital, technology and intelligence networking platform for Chinese and foreign SMEs.

With 6,000 standard booths and an exhibition area of 150,000 square meters, the 14th CISMEF is hosted by the Ministry of Industry and Info

rmation Technology of the People's Republic of China, the State Administration for Industry & Commerce, the People

's Government of Guangdong Province, the Department of Small Business Development of South Africa and UNIDO.

www.shlf20.cn

As the tent could not上海乌托邦品茶微信s at once, it allo

allowed 94 stu上海乌托邦品茶微信dents into the tent and accommodated the rest at a home for the elderly in the town.

Music, fine arts and composition classes were given in the tent classroom.

In the music class, Zeng Yingtian taught the students how to sing As Resilient as Bamboo.

Written by a high school teacher in Changning, the song said quake-affected people would

not cry, even if they shed tears, as they were uncrushed bamboo and green hope would arise from the debris.

In the fine arts and composition classes, students were told to draw pictures of people involved in earthquake relief and write w

ords of gratitude. Some of the students sent their drawings to policemen and people in charge of quarantine.

Since the earthquake, the Changning quake zone has received donations of more than 100 million yuan from companies and individuals.

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Among them, 上海千花坊女神会所rned to their home countr

ries. The others上海千花坊女神会所o said they wished to remain in China, have been given legal stat

us after going through proper cross-border marriage registration procedures, according to the ministry.

The efforts targeted people in China and other countries who collaborated in trafficking women.

“Such practices have not only seriously harmed the legitimate rights of these women but also fostered crimes such as smu

ggling, illegal marriage and fraud,” Guo Lin, a ministry spokeswoman, said at a news conference on Friday.

Police from the six countries conducted a joint campaign from July to December.

During the campaign, 634 human trafficking cases were uncovered and 1,130 suspects, including 153 foreigners, were arrested.

Also, 126 marriage fraud cases were uncovered and 202 suspects, including 109 foreigners, were arrested, according to the ministry.

jswrh.cn

If Pyongyang accele上海千花坊女神会所nuclearization pro

ome countries 上海千花坊女神会所should reciprocate its actions by giving it security guarantee, w

hich would create an opportunity for it to develop its economy. And once its economic co

nditions improve, Pyongyang will depend less on nuclear power to safeguard its security.

Moreover, after talks with Pyongyang, Beijing could convey some of its messages to the leaders of other rela

ted countries at the G20 summit, in order to promote multilateral talks with the aim of denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula.

President Xi Jinping encouraged a group of elite student athletes to make greater contributions

to China’s goal of developing into a stronger sporting nation as he replied to a letter they sent to him.

Xi wrote to students of the 2016 class of Beijing Sport University’s champ

ions’ postgraduate program on Tuesday to urge them to keep working hard to sho

ulder greater responsibility in the development of the country’s sporting culture and athletic prowess.

www.ecimy.cn

First molten salt so上海后花园女神会所lant runs at fu

The country’s first 上海后花园女神会所100-megawatt molten salt solar thermal power plant in Dunhuang, Northwest China’s Ga

nsu province, has successfully generated power while operating at full capacity on Monday morning, Chinanews.com reported.

Nearly 20 hours of operating records on Monday show the systems at the power plant have been normal and stable. The facility also s

et a new record by generating over 1.8 million kilowatt-hours of power day and night, with all indicat

ors suggesting it has reached or exceeded its designed values. This marks another important step after the plant cr

eated 1.67 million kWh of power over 34 hours of continuous operations in mid-April.

Huang Wenbo, vice-chairman of Beijing Shouhang, said the power plant has withstood the test of runni

ng under the harshest environmental conditions in different seasons, which means it can be widely used in northwestern areas.

The power station is among China’s first batch of solar thermal power generation demonst

ration projects. With an investment of 3 billion yuan ($433.1 million), it was built by Beijing Shouhang IHW Re

sources Saving Technology Co Ltd, which wholly owns the power station’s intellectual property rights.

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d other leaders of the Sha上海千花网女神会所n Organizatio

member count上海千花网女神会所ries and observer states, as well as r

epresentatives of regional and international bodies, head for group photo

s during the 19th meeting of the Council of Heads of State of the SCO in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, June

Xi called for joint efforts to fight the three evil forces — terrorism, separatism and extremism — as well as be

efing up security measures and halting the flow of terrorists and extremist forces.

Noting that Afghanistan is a neighbor of SCO countries and an important observer state in the organiz

ation, Xi said the SCO firmly supports an Afghan-owned and Afghan-led peace and reconciliation process.

SCO countries should cultivate new cooperation areas in such fields

as digital economy, ecommerce, artificial intelligence and big data, he said.

www.shejio.org

Minister General Wei Fenghe speaks at the Shangri-La Dialo

The People’s Liberation Army will adamantly support regional and world peace, but will not be

“bullied or preyed upon” by foreign powers into giving up national sovereignty and legitimate int

erests, State Councilor and Defense Minister General Wei Fenghe said on Sunday in Singapore.

Experts said Wei’s speech at the Shangri-La Dialogue, a key defense summ

it, marked a milestone in Chinese military diplomacy as Wei showcased the PLA’s confide

nce, positions on key issues and its sincerity and willingness to exchange and cooperate with other countries.

It is the first time in eight years that a Chinese defense minister has participated in the event.

Building a community with a shared future for mankind is the right path forward an

d the trend of the times amid growing uncertainty and instability around the world, he said.

www.zsdbv.cn

We are now poised to do the hard job, which is to li

link the activity of neurons, muscle, and behavior and decipher the neur

al code to explain completely how the nervous system creates behavior, at least in one

animal,” said senior author Rafael Yuste of Columbia University.

The study has brought researchers a step closer to “breaking the neural c

ode” and understanding the relationship between a stimulus and its neural response.

The study has been published in Current Biology.US sta

tes continue to value trade relations with China, despite ongoing tensions at the international level, and th

ey hope tensions will be resolved through negotiations.

www.ypwhl.cn

n hindsight, their 73-day-long border standoff in the sum

ummer of 2017 is now seen as a watershed which made b

oth sides ever more pragmatic in building their partnership. This explains why, during his fir

st term as India’s prime minister, Modi visited China five times while Xi Jinping visited India twice. The two lea

ders also met at many multilateral meetings, several of which saw them showcasing joint statesmanship.

Since his Shangri-La Dialogue speech in June last year, Modi has propagated engaging China in Indo-Pacific disco

urses as well as ensured that the “Quad” (the grouping of the US, Japan, Australia and India) does not become a mili

tarized or “exclusive” club of a few. Breaking out of the myopic preoccupation of seeking parity with Ch

ina in the limited bandwidth of their expanding economic prowess-where China is five times taller th

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